Messi's hat trick leads Barca over Valencia

Soccer Betting Lines

03/14/2010 - Barcelona, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lionel Messi had second-half hat trick and Barcelona beat Valencia 3-0 on Sunday in a clash of top-three clubs in Spain's La Liga at the Camp Nou.

Messi scored in the 56th, 81st and 83rd minutes to increase his La Liga-high goal total to 22 through just 26 matches.

Gonzalo Higuain scored a hat trick for Real Madrid in a 4-1 win at Valladolid, as it bounced back from its Champions League exit to stay level on points with Barcelona.

Although Real holds the lead through goal differential, Barca actually holds a slight edge because it won the teams' only meeting 1-0.

Barcelona plays the second leg of its Champions League Round of 16 series this Wednesday against Stuttgart at the Camp Nou. Barca settled for a 1-1 draw in the first leg in Germany.

Real Madrid was eliminated from the Champions League on Wednesday by Lyon. The Spanish side lost the first leg 1-0 in France, and could only manage a 1-1 tie in the return leg at the Bernabeu.

Real took out its frustrations Valladolid, with Cristiano Ronaldo opening the scoring before Higuian scored his hat trick to increase his goal total to 19 - second in La Liga behind Messi.

Madrid won its eighth straight in La Liga, and still hosts Barcelona with just 12 matches left in the season and no European matches to worry about.

"I am very happy with the way we played. Every match is like a final and today we needed to win to stay positive," Real coach Manuel Pellegrini said on the club's website. "We need to compete for the title. The players know what is at stake and don't want everything done so to date to be in vain.

"The team proved it's on the right track."

Joseba Llorente and Damian Escudero scored to lead Villarreal to a 2-0 victory over Xerez, Fernando Soriano scored to lead Almeria over Malaga 1-0, Tenerife beat Espanyol 4-1 to make a move toward climbing out of the drop zone and Real Zaragoza tied Racing 0-0.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.